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Dnešní Tipsport analýza se bude týkat zápasu mezi New York Mets, kteří odehrají domácí víkendovou sérii proti Chicagu Cubs. Startovací nadhazovači budou Zack Wheeler za domácí Mets a za hosty z Chicaga nastoupí Tyler Chatwood. Na první pohled podle ERA to vypadá, že lepším nadhazovačem disponují Cubs. No mně osobně přijde, když se podívám na advanced statistiky obou nadhazovačů, že lépe je na tom Wheeler. Pálkařsky jsou na tom oba týmy podobně, Cubs asi díky zdravé palce lépe. Chatwood má problémy s leváky a těch můžou do sestavy Mets nacpat i sedm. Wheeler je na tom podobně, ale tolika leváky Cubs nedisponují.

 

Oba dva nadhazovači zde budou těžit z toho, že stadion Mets je stadion, který vyhovuje víc nadhazovačům, ale Chatwood má velmi vysoké procento met zdarma, které rozdává pálkařům díky špatné kontrole nadhozu, které naštěstí pro něj je schopen eliminovat tím, že je groundball nadhazovač, ale i přesto, že Mets mají hodně zraněných hráčů, tak stále disponují palebnou silou, aby mu poslali nějaký míč za plot.

Kurzy Tipsportu jsou 1.96 na vítězství New Yorku a 1.94 na vítězství Chicaga.

 

Za 2/10 si zahraju vítězství New Yorku. On tady špatně nevypadá i over na 8.5 bodu za 1.8

 

Pravděpodobné sestavy

 

CHC
# Player vs. R
1 Ben Zobrist S OF
2 Kris Bryant R 3B
3 Anthony Rizzo L 1B
4 Willson Contreras R C
5 Addison Russell R SS
6 Kyle Schwarber L OF
7 Javier Baez R 2B
8 Ian Happ S OF
9
Tyler Chatwood R SP
@ NYM
# Player vs. R
1 Brandon Nimmo L OF
2 Asdrubal Cabrera S 2B
3 Michael Conforto L OF
4 Jay Bruce L OF
5 Kevin Plawecki R C
6 Adrian Gonzalez L 1B
7 Amed Rosario R SS
8 Luis Guillorme L 3B
9
Zack Wheeler R SP

 

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